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Yang, C.;  Tsan, Y.;  Kristiani, E.;  Liu, P.;  Chu, W. Association between Air Pollutant and COVID-19 Confirmed Cases. Encyclopedia. Available online: (accessed on 25 February 2024).
Yang C,  Tsan Y,  Kristiani E,  Liu P,  Chu W. Association between Air Pollutant and COVID-19 Confirmed Cases. Encyclopedia. Available at: Accessed February 25, 2024.
Yang, Chao-Tung, Yu-Tse Tsan, Endah Kristiani, Po-Yu Liu, Wei-Min Chu. "Association between Air Pollutant and COVID-19 Confirmed Cases" Encyclopedia, (accessed February 25, 2024).
Yang, C.,  Tsan, Y.,  Kristiani, E.,  Liu, P., & Chu, W. (2022, June 28). Association between Air Pollutant and COVID-19 Confirmed Cases. In Encyclopedia.
Yang, Chao-Tung, et al. "Association between Air Pollutant and COVID-19 Confirmed Cases." Encyclopedia. Web. 28 June, 2022.
Association between Air Pollutant and COVID-19 Confirmed Cases

The COVID-19 pandemic raises awareness of how the fatal spreading of infectious disease impacts economic, political, and cultural sectors, which causes social implications. Across the world, strategies aimed at quickly recognizing risk factors have also helped shape public health guidelines and direct resources; however, they are challenging to analyze and predict since those events still happen. 

COVID-19 AQI air pollutant correlation analysis deep learning LSTM lag times

1. Introduction

Although people remember and contemplate that during 26 January–3 October 2020, more than 300,000 people died in the United States, with two thirds of those deaths directly associated to COVID-19 [1], people might also assess what the newest science says about the pandemic. People know that those who live in places with severe levels of air pollution will face several hazards concerning their respiratory health throughout this outbreak. Currently, new research focuses on the correlations between air pollution and severe COVID-19 sickness, emphasizing the crucial need for everyone to breathe clean air. Research published in December 2020 attempted to assess the extent to which COVID-19 mortality is due to long-term exposure to fine particle pollution [2]. Using a combination of epidemiological data, satellite data, and other monitoring data worldwide, the researchers concluded that chronic air pollution might be responsible for 15% of COVID-19 fatalities globally [2]. The experts also distinguished air pollution generated by fossil fuels and pollution that is induced by other human activities. In the United States, fossil fuel-related air pollution is responsible for 15% of COVID-19 mortality, indicating that fossil fuel related air pollution contributes considerably to overall U.S. air quality [2].

2. Research on Association of Air Pollutant and COVID-19

Researchers conducted the research related to the association of air pollution and COVID-19 in various countries.
Zhu et al. [3] investigated the association between ambient air pollution and coronavirus infection. Between 23 January 2020 and 29 February 2020, in China, daily confirmed cases, air pollution concentrations, and climatic data were collected in 120 cities. They used a generalized additive model to examine the relationships between six air pollutants (PM2.5, PM10, SO2, CO, NO2, and O3) and verified instances of COVID-19.
Gupta et al. [4] estimated the increased risk of coronavirus disease (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, by establishing a link between the mortality rate of infected individuals and air pollution, specifically Particulate Matters (PM) with aerodynamic diameters of 10 m and 2.5 m. Nine Asian cities’ data are studied using statistical techniques such as analysis of variance and regression modeling.
Lolli et al. [5] quantified the relationship between COVID-19 transmission and meteorological and air quality indices in two significant urban regions in Northern Italy, Milan, and Florence, as well as the autonomous province of Trento. Milan, the capital of the Lombardy region, is often regarded as the heart of Italy’s HIV epidemic.
Bashir et al. [6] investigated the relationship between COVID-19 and climatic indicators in New York City, United States of America. They analyzed secondary public data from the New York City Department of Health and the National Weather Service in the United States of America. The average temperature, lowest temperature, maximum temperature, rainfall, average humidity, wind speed, and air quality are all covered in the research. The Kendall and Spearman rank correlation tests were used to analyze the data.
Suhaimi et al. [7] investigated the relationships between air quality, climatic variables, and COVID-19 cases in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. The Department of Environment Malaysia provided air pollutants and meteorological data from 2018–2020, whereas the Ministry of Health Malaysia provided daily new COVID-19 case data in 2020.
Mehmood et al. [8] used geospatial tools to analyze the relationship between COVID-19 cases, air pollution, meteorological, and socioeconomic characteristics in three provincial capital cities and the federal capital city of Pakistan.
Hoang and Tran [9] investigated the temporal association in seven metropolitan centers and nine regions across Korea using the generalized additive model. The findings indicate a substantial nonlinear relationship between daily temperature and verified COVID-19 cases.
Travaglio et al. [10] matched current SARS-CoV-2 cases and fatalities from public databases to regional and subregional air pollution data collected across England.
In Singapore, Lorenzo et al. [11] examined the relationship between core air pollutant concentrations, climatic factors, and daily verified COVID-19 case numbers. The researchers here collected data on air pollutant concentrations (particulate matter [PM2.5, PM10], ozone [O3], carbon monoxide [CO], nitrogen dioxide [NO2], sulphur dioxide [SO2], pollutant standards index [PSI]), and climatic variables (rainfall, humidity, and temperature). Table 1 summarizes recent studies on the association between air pollutants and COVID-19.
Recent important research findings in 2022 also indicated that there is a correlation between air pollutants and COVID-19 cases [12][13][14][15][16].

3. Research on Prediction of Air Pollutant and COVID-19 Using Deep Learning

Aragão et al. [17] examined climate factors as extra features in a data-driven multivariate prediction model to predict the number of COVID-19 deaths in Brazilian states and significant cities in the short future. The basic premise is that by including these climatic characteristics as inputs to data-driven model training, the prediction performance increases when compared with single-input models. For both the multivariate and univariate models, the training adopted a Stacked LSTM as the network architecture. Using the mean fitting error, average forecast error, and the profile of the cumulative deaths for the forecast as evaluation criteria, the tests revealed that the best multivariate model is more skillful than the best standard data-driven univariate model the researchers found. These findings suggest that by using additional important variables as input for a multivariate method, the quality of prediction models may be improved even more.
Al-Qaness et al. [18] presented an upgraded version of the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) for forecasting the air quality index in Wuhan City, China. The PSOSMA is a hybrid optimization approach that uses a novel modified meta-heuristics (MH) algorithm, and a slime mold algorithm (SMA), which is enhanced by employing the particle swarm optimizer to increase ANFIS performance (PSO). The proposed PSOSMA-ANFIS was trained using three years of air quality index time series data and then used to forecast fine particulate matter (PM2.5), sulfur dioxide (SO2), carbon dioxide (CO2), and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) for a year. The suggested PSOSMA was also compared with various MH algorithms used to train ANFIS. The results discovered that the improved ANFIS incorporating PSOSMA outperformed the other methods.
Zhou et al. [19] discussed the COVID-19 forecasting, using the relevance of government initiatives in their suggested model, the Interpretable Temporal Attention Network (ITANet). Long short-term memory (LSTM) for temporal feature extraction and multi-head attention for the long-term dependency caption are used in the proposed model, which has an encoder–decoder architecture. The ITANet outperforms other models when it comes to anticipating COVID-19 new confirmed cases.
Saravanan et al. [20] described the impact of lockdown measures on air quality and rainwater accumulation in major cities. With respect to varying time length and climatic variables, the effects of COVID-19 on the environment during lockdown conditions were compared with those without lockdown conditions. During the lockdown, the concentrations of particulate pollution in Chennai, Bangalore, Delhi, and Melbourne were measured. The findings of this research indicate the effects of government actions and give a detailed perspective of the death rate in relation to air quality decrease.
Xu, et al. [21] created three deep learning models in their study to forecast the number of COVID-19 cases for Brazil, India, and Russia, including CNN, LSTM, and CNN-LSTM. The LSTM model, among the models constructed in this research, has the best forecasting performance, which indicates an improvement in prediction accuracy over certain current models.
Fu, et al. [22] used experimental public data sets from the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering (JHU CSSE), the Air Quality Open Data Platform, the China Meteorological Data Network, and the WorldPop website. The Dual-link Bi-GRU Network predicts the epidemic scenario, and the Gauss–Newton iteration method quantifies the relationship between epidemic spread and other feature parameters. Among the selected characteristic elements, the reesarch discovered that population density had the most positive link with pandemic spread, followed by the number of landing planes.
Mumtaz, et al. [23] suggested an indoor air quality monitoring and prediction system based on the newest Internet of Things (IoT) sensors and machine learning capabilities, which can assess a variety of indoor pollutants. An IoT node including numerous sensors for eight pollutants, including NH3, CO, NO2, CH4, CO2, PM2.5, as well as the ambient temperature and air humidity, has been designed for this purpose. With an accuracy of 99.37%, precision of 99%, recall of 98%, and F1-score of 99%, this model has showed promise in forecasting air pollutants’ concentrations as well as overall air quality.

4. LSTM Network

In nonlinear sequence prediction issues, the LSTM network is a recurrent neural network (RNN) design that can learn order dependence. They have a habit of memorizing things for a long period. The memory cell, which substitutes classic neurons’ hidden layers, is at the foundation of the LSTM network [24]. The LSTM networks, similarly to other RNNs, feature recurrent cells, but instead of a single NN gate, the recurring cell has an interactive input gate, output gate, and forget gate [25]. The cell remembers values for arbitrary time intervals, and these three gates control the flow of information into and out of the cell. Based on the past state, accessible memory, and current input, this structure guarantees that the LSTM can recognize which cells are stimulated and compressed. The LSTM networks were created to solve the problem of disappearing gradients that might occur when training traditional RNNs. As there may be unexpected delays between critical occurrences in a time series, LSTM networks are ideally suited for categorizing, processing, and generating predictions based on time series data. In many cases, LSTM has an advantage over RNNs, hidden Markov models, and other sequence learning approaches due to its relative insensitivity to gap length; therefore, the researchers selected LSTM as the model to predict the integration of COVID-19 and air pollutant data.


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