To achieve higher performance, contingency theory considers the contextual factors in the business’s decision-making environment. The basic concept of contingency theory is that businesses need to be adaptable and should be able to understand their operating environment
[38][24]. This is especially important when examining supply chain complexity since both structural and dynamic factors can have an advantageous or disadvantageous impact on a variety of company outcomes
[34][25], and numerous environmental elements, including geographic location, national culture, institutional circumstances, as well as dynamic environmental features such as excessive complexity or uncertainty, have an impact on these results
[39][26].
2.2. Complex Adaptive System
An interconnected network of numerous firms that demonstrates adaptive behavior in response to both the environment and the system of entities itself is referred to as a complex adaptive system
[33,42][27][28]. A complex adaptive system is a self-organising system that continuously evolves over time by reconfiguring its internal and external links
[43][29]. According to Kim et al., a complex adaptive system is a suitable theory for understanding the topologies of supply chain networks
[44][30].
2.3. Natural Accident Theory
Although it has not been commonly used in supply chain disruption literature, natural accident theory can contribute to supply network interruptions
[45][31]. Systemic risk and natural accident theory are complementary approaches that help us comprehend disruption prorogation. Natural accident theory is based on complex and strongly connected systems. Accidents are unavoidable or even common in this system, and catastrophic failures are just regular flaws that go out of control
[46][32]. Links to supply chain disruptions should be taken into consideration in order to avoid accidents. The interaction complexity of the system can create problems in supply chain networks
[47][33].
2.4. Systems Theory
The field of information systems discusses the application of general systems theory
[49][34]. The goal of systems theory is to analyse dynamic relationships between components and relationships between the organisation and the environment
[50][35]. To predict the system’s response to changes and hindrances, it is crucial to assess its functionality and flexibility
[51][36]. According to the first principle, a system’s ability to adapt to changing circumstances decreases as it becomes more complex. The second principle is that more resources are required to sustain a larger system. The third principle illustrates how smaller systems frequently interact with bigger ones and are components of them. The fourth principle, which has obvious implications for the second principle, is about the creation of systems. The structural and dynamic aspects of complexity are two that are well-established in the supply chain literature
[52][37]. The presence of various elements or sub-elements in the system gives rise to structural complexity, also known as static complexity or dynamic complexity. One factor that affects structural (static) complexity is the number of suppliers, customers, and products in a system, as well as their geographic distribution.
Supply chain complexity refers to the extent to which an organisation’s supply chain consists of many different elements that interact in unpredictable ways
[56][38]. Supply chain organisations may address a variety of consumer expectations by employing blockchain technology, quickly recalling products from the market when disrupted, and automating business processes with integrated responses to product quality by tracking product chains. Downstream complexity, which is generally linked to customer numbers and product categories, is typically referred to as customer base complexity. When the core enterprise’s goals meet shifting consumer requirements and expectations, a large customer base and a wide range of completed items with a shorter life cycle add to the complexity of the customer base
[57][39]. Customers with a significant divergence in their demands can negatively impact an enterprise’s ability to operate efficiently when the complexity of the client base is great
[58][40]. As customer diversity continues to grow, transaction costs also rise, decreasing the effectiveness of businesses in managing their clientele. At times, businesses see an increase in inventory costs and cash withdrawal periods as consumers become more geographically separated
[59][41].
Additionally, a diversified customer base can be useful for assessing the effects of demand swings in downstream supply chains, which can be determined by the profitability of the company.
Figure 2 outlines the role of knowledge transfer and technological advancements in supply chain systems.
Figure 2 also highlights the significance of management structures, as when they expand, knowledge transfer and technological advancements increase; however, with the increasing size and structure of an organisation, uncertainty and complexity also increase. This denotes that complexities can arise as knowledge transfer and technological advancements increase. Therefore, it is essential to handle the uncertainties and complexities associated with it. Furthermore,
Figure 2 also elaborates on the factors of uncertainty and complexity, which are delayed delivery times, delays in product delivery, and the impact on scheduling times eventually being late or changed. The management and structure are to be taken into consideration when exchanging knowledge and incorporating technology, as it is crucial to understand the factors affecting the organisation. For instance, some of these factors include the size of the organisation, the size of the client base, the location of suppliers, etc.
Figure 2. Role of Knowledge Transfer and technological advancements on Supply chain complexity (Adapted from [60]). Role of Knowledge Transfer and technological advancements on Supply chain complexity (Adapted from [42]).