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Criminal Ecosystems: Autopoiesis, Adaptation, and Resilience: History
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Criminal ecosystems are durable social systems in which differentiated criminal functions become recurrently interdependent across organizations, networks, illicit markets, institutional actors, financial facilitators, territorial brokers, and social environments. The concept applies when coercion, illicit accumulation, political protection, territorial regulation, and other specialized capacities depend on one another over time and become structurally coupled with institutional, sociocultural, spatial, or technological conditions. A criminal ecosystem is therefore not defined by the presence of a particular organization, market, or territory, nor by resilience itself. It is identified by functional differentiation, recurrent interdependence, structural coupling, and temporal reproduction. Complex adaptive systems theory explains how decentralized interactions can generate adaptation, substitution, and emergent order, while autopoietic social systems theory explains how recurring communications stabilize expectations and reproduce boundaries. Digital infrastructure can mediate financial and transnational functions without constituting a separate operational dimension in the present framework. This distinction allows resilience, reconfiguration, displacement, and decline to be examined as empirical outcomes rather than assumed properties of the ecosystem.

  • criminal ecosystems
  • organized crime
  • autopoiesis
  • complex adaptive systems
  • criminal governance
  • illicit markets
  • state weakness
  • systemic resilience
The expression criminal ecosystem emerged from a long dissatisfaction with narrow descriptions of organized crime as a collection of isolated groups, bosses, cartels, gangs, or mafia type organizations. Early organizational approaches clarified how criminal groups use violence, secrecy, reputation, and protection to regulate illegal transactions, but they often treated criminal actors as discrete entities whose boundaries could be identified through membership, hierarchy, leadership, or market specialization. Varese placed mafia organizations at the center of this tradition by showing how protection, money, loyalty, and coercion can structure everyday criminal life [1]. Campana and Varese [2] later broadened this view by showing that organized crime may govern markets and communities rather than merely participate in illegal exchange.
A first conceptual breakthrough occurred when scholars began to replace static organizational images with network based explanations. Kenney [3] showed that the Colombian cocaine trade did not operate only through rigid hierarchies, but through adaptive trafficking networks that learned from enforcement pressure, reorganized relations, and preserved functions after disruption. Raab and Milward [4] then described dark networks as concealed and resilient structures whose survival depends on relational flexibility, secrecy, redundancy, and the ability to operate across formal institutional boundaries. These works shifted attention from criminal organizations as objects to criminal relations as architectures. They made visible a crucial problem: removing one actor does not necessarily destroy the wider relational system that made the actor useful.
A second breakthrough came from the study of criminal governance. Arias [5] demonstrated that criminal groups in Rio de Janeiro did not simply prey on communities, but participated in the production of order through mediation, violence management, political connections, and local authority. In his later comparative work on Latin America and the Caribbean, Arias [6] showed that criminal enterprises may become part of broader governance arrangements in which state actors, residents, political brokers, and armed organizations coexist within unstable orders. Lessing and Willis [7] extended this debate by showing how the Primeiro Comando da Capital could manage a criminal empire from prison through rules, discipline, legitimacy, and internal normative procedures. This literature made the concept of criminal order central to the study of organized crime.
A third breakthrough involved the recognition that legality and illegality often interact rather than remain separate. Schultze Kraft [8] used the notion of crimilegality to explain how criminal and legal orders may overlap in social fields where illegal practices become embedded in institutional routines, political protection, and everyday governance. Garay, Salcedo, de León, and Guerrero [9] had already documented how criminal interests in Colombia could penetrate state institutions through capture and coopted reconfiguration, transforming public authority from within rather than merely corrupting it from outside. This line of work undermined the simple opposition between state and crime. It showed that criminal power often grows through partial institutional functionality, selective state weakness, and the instrumental use of legal procedures.
A fourth breakthrough came from research on illicit economies and criminal finance. Felbab Brown [10] argued that illegal economies can shape political order because they provide income, protection, employment, and social leverage in territories where the state fails to guarantee security and opportunity. Bergman [11] showed that criminal wealth increases organizational capacity, expands corruption, and connects illicit extraction with formal economic circulation. Levi and Soudijn [12] later insisted that money laundering should be understood as a central mechanism in organized crime because it transforms illicit revenue into usable power, institutional access, and apparently legitimate capital. These contributions revealed that organized crime cannot be reduced to violence or trafficking. It also depends on accumulation, reinvestment, concealment, and economic normalization.
The term criminal ecosystem is analytically useful only if it answers a question that organizations, networks, markets, governance, and resilience cannot answer separately. Organizations explain collective agency, networks explain relational structure, markets explain exchange, governance explains authority, and territorial approaches explain spatial embedding. The ecosystem framework instead asks how heterogeneous criminal functions become interdependent across these units and how those relations are reproduced through time. Its distinctive object is therefore neither the actor nor the tie, but the recurrent architecture of functional dependence that connects coercion, accumulation, protection, brokerage, territorial regulation, and enabling conditions. This shift provides analytical leverage for explaining why changes in one component may produce substitution, reconfiguration, or decline elsewhere in the system rather than a uniform organizational outcome.
The immediate origin of the term is also linked to the language of convergence and deviant globalization. Calderón and Rodríguez Beltrán [13] explicitly described criminal ecosystems as habitats in which illicit actors, illegal economies, territorial opportunities, and global criminal flows converge. Their use of the term was important because it moved the discussion from the isolated criminal group toward the environment that sustains criminal activity. In this sense, an ecosystem is not a metaphor for disorder. It is a conceptual model for describing interdependence. It invites scholars to ask how actors, markets, institutions, territories, technologies, financial circuits, and social expectations interact until they generate a criminal order that no single component controls completely.
The current status of the field shows that this conceptual move has become increasingly necessary. Recent debates on criminal governance in Latin America describe how violent non state actors regulate territories, influence elections, provide protection, administer punishment, and negotiate with state agents in contexts of institutional fragmentation [14]. Relational approaches to organized crime now emphasize events, connections, brokers, flows, and changing ties rather than fixed organizational labels [15]. Research on criminal fragmentation has also shown that state pressure can sometimes multiply organizations, redistribute violence, and generate new forms of coordination instead of producing the disappearance of illicit markets [16]. These findings support the need for a systemic vocabulary.
The concept of a criminal ecosystem is most useful when it identifies a historically formed and functionally connected system rather than serving as a synonym for criminal environment. It is an environment contains conditions that may facilitate crime, such as weak oversight, social dependence, infrastructure, or market opportunity. This ecosystem exists only when differentiated criminal functions establish recurrent dependencies, become coupled with those conditions, and reproduce those relations over time. This threshold allows researchers to distinguish a setting with extensive criminal activity from a system in which multiple functions depend on one another. The methodological basis for the conceptual reconstruction, including the PRISMA informed review and thematic analysis, is reported in the Supplementary Material.
A mature use of the concept therefore requires disciplined terminology and independent diagnostic criteria. System refers here to the general relational whole, environment to the contextual conditions surrounding its operations, and criminal ecosystem to the specific configuration in which differentiated functions become recurrently interdependent and temporally reproduced. Criminal organization, criminal network, illicit market, criminal governance, crimilegal order, and territory remain analytically distinct categories that may participate in, but are not synonymous with, the ecosystem. This vocabulary also prevents circularity because resilience is not used to identify the ecosystem in advance. Researchers can first establish ecosystemicity and then test whether disturbance produces robustness, substitution, reconfiguration, displacement, resilience, or systemic decline.

References

  1. Varese, F. Mafia Life: Love, Death and Money at the Heart of Organised Crime; Oxford University Press: Oxford, UK, 2018.
  2. Campana, P.; Varese, F. Organized crime in the United Kingdom: Illegal governance of markets and communities. Br. J. Criminol. 2018, 58, 1381–1400.
  3. Kenney, M. The architecture of drug trafficking: Network forms of organisation in the Colombian cocaine trade. Glob. Crime 2007, 8, 233–259.
  4. Raab, J.; Milward, H.B. Dark networks as problems. J. Public Adm. Res. Theory 2003, 13, 413–439.
  5. Arias, E.D. The dynamics of criminal governance: Networks and social order in Rio de Janeiro. J. Lat. Am. Stud. 2006, 38, 293–325.
  6. Arias, E.D. Criminal Enterprises and Governance in Latin America and the Caribbean; Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK, 2017.
  7. Lessing, B.; Willis, G.D. Legitimacy in criminal governance: Managing a drug empire from behind bars. Am. Political Sci. Rev. 2019, 113, 584–606.
  8. Schultze-Kraft, M. Órdenes crimilegales: Repensando el poder político del crimen organizado. Íconos Rev. Cienc. Soc. 2016, 55, 25–44.
  9. Garay Salamanca, L.J.; Salcedo-Albarán, E.; de León-Beltrán, I.; Guerrero, B. La Captura y Reconfiguración Cooptada del Estado en Colombia; Fundación Método, Fundación Avina y Transparencia por Colombia: Bogotá, Colombia, 2008.
  10. Felbab-Brown, V. Organized crime, illicit economies, civil violence & international order: More complex than you think. Daedalus 2017, 146, 98–111.
  11. Bergman, M. More Money, More Crime: Prosperity and Rising Crime in Latin America; Oxford University Press: New York, NY, USA, 2018.
  12. Levi, M.; Soudijn, M. Understanding the laundering of organized crime money. Crime Justice 2020, 49, 579–631.
  13. Álvarez Calderón, C.E.; Rodríguez Beltrán, C.A. Criminal ecosystems: Habitats for convergence and deviant globalization. Rev. Cient. Gen. José María Córdova 2018, 16, 5–30.
  14. Feldmann, A.E.; Luna, J.P. Criminal governance and the crisis of contemporary Latin American states. Annu. Rev. Sociol. 2022, 48, 441–461.
  15. Campana, P.; Antonopoulos, G.A. A relational approach to organised crime: Introduction to the special issue on crime and networks. Trends Organ. Crime 2024, 27, 229–234.
  16. Esberg, J. Criminal fragmentation in Mexico. Political Sci. Res. Methods 2026, 14, 213–220.
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