1. Drivers of Change
The world is shifting away from the conventional attributes we recognise, to one plagued with complexity and uncertainty
[1]. To enhance decision making and move towards proactive rather than reactive choices, it is essential to gain a deeper understanding of the forces driving this change.
Within the futures research community, there is a consensus that these drivers of change can be collectively represented by acronyms, such as STEEP (i.e., social, technological, environmental, economic, political). However, several other modifications do exist, and debate also exists as to which is most preferred. For instance, Ratcliffe and Sirr
[1] identify nine forces that are driving change in human and built environments. Another example is Outsight’s 21 Drivers for the 21st Century
TM, developed to help challenge the current norms, allowing people to rethink the future
[2]. Additionally, the ‘Drivers of Change’ cards were developed by ARUP for the engineering community in order to help decision makers to effectively plan for the future. These cards follow the STEEP framework and consist of sets of colour-coded cards, produced for eight topics—water, energy, climate change, urbanisation, demographics, poverty, waste, and food—with twenty-five questions on each topic
[3]. In considering the drivers of change, the context and research area, to a great extent, determines the level of detail to be employed, and the types of drivers to be examined
[4]. As SSA makes critical decisions and balances design options for tackling challenges of both old and new agendas, it is essential to imagine/visualise/create the future they want. This requires a better understanding of the driving forces that affect change, and the planning of pathways toward a more desirable future.
It is worth noting that intersections do exist between and among the drivers, and there is a notable overlap in domains. For instance, ‘integrated water resource management’ can be considered a governance, economic, and environmental driver of change. Also, governance, for instance, has been frequently identified as a major driver in water infrastructure sustainability research, but it cannot be dissociated from water financing
[5]. The interconnections between and amongst themes are inevitable, and an understanding of these connections is essential for an adaptive, sustainable, and resilient system. This paper therefore uses themes that are based on a synthesis of elements of the driving forces of change, based on the STEEP framework.
2. Societal Factors
Societal factors generally play a critical role in driving change for water infrastructure sustainability. The end users of water services are, after all, the people, and they must understand the implications of their actions and feel engaged in the decision-making process. These factors encompass demography; access and utilisation patterns; and the general engagement of stakeholders on how water is used and managed.
2.1. Demography
In 2022, the world population reached 8 billion people, and this is expected to increase over the century, reaching approximately 9 billion by 2050
[6]. Much of this growth is projected to be seen in developing regions
[7]. Sub-Saharan Africa’s population is projected to increase from approximately 680 million in 2000 to 2.1 billion by 2050, accounting for 10% and 17%, respectively, of the world population
[6]. In addition to population increase, the percentage of the population living in urban areas is expected to increase significantly, especially in developing countries. According to a recent UN report, more than 50% of the world’s population now live in urban areas, and this is projected to increase to 75% by 2050
[8]. Approximately 41% of the population of SSA lived in urban areas in 2020, and this is expected to double in the next 25 years
[9]. SSA is classed as the most rapidly urbanising region, and its global share of urban dwellers is projected to increase from 11.3% in 2010 to 20.2% by 2050
[10]. This situation will result in land-use changes, a surge in informal settlements, and heightened climate change vulnerability. An increase in population will also cause an increase in water demand, putting additional pressure on the inadequate urban water infrastructure systems in SSA.
2.2. Water Access and Utilisation Patterns
In 2020, a quarter of the world’s population still did not have access to safe drinking water
[6]. However, huge disparities do exist, with high-income countries having 98% access to safely managed drinking water facilities, compared to SSA at 30%
[11]. Water demand largely depends on several factors including access, potential cost, socio-economic status, population, weather conditions, and water policies
[12]. According to the World Health Organisation (WHO), the average water for householder/domestic use per person per day to meet basic human needs should be in the range of 50–100 litres
[13]. However, the average domestic water use in England, for example, is approximately 142 litres per person per day
[14], and in Mali, it is around 14 litres per person per day
[15]. For most countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, this lack of access is mostly due to economic rather than physical scarcity
[16], which is exacerbated by the lack of finance for the construction of infrastructure for a piped water supply and the general lack of data to understand the effects of demand and supply
[17]. With the projected increase in population, particularly in urban areas, and increased vulnerability to climate change, closing this gap is becoming more challenging.
With regard to availability, it is necessary to have a clearer understanding of water withdrawal patterns, including return flow and water use, and the impacts on the hydrological cycle
[18]. To achieve this, several researchers and research institutions have been working on filling this data gap via the development of tools and the use of modelling and simulations for water quantification (see
[19]). For instance, the Water Global Assessment and Prognosis (WaterGAP) model, developed at the University of Kassel, quantifies the global water availability and the human use of surface and groundwater storage on all surfaces of the Earth
[20][21]. However, whilst these models are essential for risk assessment and planning, their applicability is limited by the complexity of, and uncertainty in, characterising water systems
[16][22][23]. Their limitation is further exacerbated by the unavailability of reliable data on real-world phenomena, such as irrigation abstractions; climate change; population and economic growth; and total water availability and use, especially for developing countries, leading to unrealistic outcomes
[16]. A study attempting to model the availability of freshwater in the sub-continent of West Africa highlighted the lack of information and data as the main limitations to the accuracy of the models
[24]. Notwithstanding, whilst it is important to better understand water demand patterns, it is essential that conservation approaches are introduced, and context-specific financial policies are developed, in addition to education and sensitization solutions, all designed to fit the needs of the people
[25].
2.3. Water Conservation
Due to the finite nature of water and the growing pressures on the Earth, water conservation and demand management is one of the main measures of incorporating sustainability in the water industry. There is growing evidence supporting the fact that it is cheaper and more sustainable to increase the efficiency of water use than to entirely rely on new sources of supply to meet the population’s growing, and sometimes profligate, demands
[12][26][27]. Therefore, there has been an increase in the shift from a supply driven paradigm to a demand-driven approach which includes socio-political, economic, or technical measures. These can be in the form of encouraging or enforcing approaches—‘the carrot and the stick’.
A host of developed countries have incorporated conservation and demand management into their water resource management policy and governance with legal, institutional, and regulatory frameworks put in place
[28][29]. For instance, Singapore’s Public Utility Board instituted a water conservation programme that consisted of pricing, regulation, and incentive strategies as they transitioned from supply-driven to demand management solutions for efficiency and sustainability in the supply of water. These and other measures have contributed to making Singapore one of the most successful countries in terms of the implementation of water demand management strategies
[25][29][30]. However, others have argued that using pricing alone to manage scarcity and demand could have severe implications, such as a reduction in revenue for water utilities, affecting their ability to recover costs for the general operation and maintenance of assets
[31][32]. Therefore, strategies for demand management should be context-specific and should incorporate the integration of different approaches.
In SSA, notable progress has been made in incorporating conservation strategies in water resource management. However, despite progress shown by countries such as South Africa (see
[33]), Malawi (see
[34]), and Namibia (see
[35]), significant challenges still exist. These challenges range from poor infrastructure and its operation and maintenance to cost recoupment challenges and high subsidy requirements
[12]. Unfortunately, in many cases, progress appears to yield only short-term benefits
[12]. As such, conservation measures can only be effective with complementary regulation, education, and technical and human capacity improvements.
2.4. Stakeholder Engagement
In broad terms, stakeholder engagement can be defined as the process of informing, collaborating, and partnering with stakeholders to understand their interests and influence in implementing a common course
[36]. In water management, the need for a participatory decision-making process is essential for building a sense of ownership and trust in both the process and outcome, whilst considering the needs and interests of the local communities
[37]. Stakeholder engagement is believed to improve both the efficiency and effectiveness of project and/or policy outcomes, as well as building trust, something often lacking in this realm
[38]. As such, it is based on the principles of open and clear communication, trust, and ethical decision-making, thereby fostering a bottom-up approach to decision-making, rather than a top-down approach
[39]. However, since all stakeholders might have different views about a specific problem, engagement does come with its challenge; however, these are, on-the-whole, surmountable.
There are different approaches to stakeholder engagement. For infrastructure projects in general, the ‘design and defend’ approach is well-established in the way non-experts are being engaged
[40]. Engineers and designers have so much faith in their technical expertise that they use engagement as a way to inform or announce to the public their well-articulated technical plans, disregarding the complexity of the socio-technical water infrastructure system
[40]. In a World Bank report on the Bumbuna Hydro-Electric Project in Sierra Leone for example, efficient and effective communication and involvement strategies were employed to keep the public informed about the delivery of the project
[41]. However, stakeholders were informed, or plans were communicated to them after the design was confirmed, and there was very little engagement at the feasibility stages, a typical ‘design and defend’ approach. Another example is seen in a study on stakeholder engagement for sustainable water resource management in South Africa. In this research, it was found that only the most vocal were involved in decision making, leaving out marginalised groups like women and the poor
[42]. The study claimed that communities were not adequately informed or equipped to participate in water management decision making, and there was a general lack of capacity, education, and trust. This is crucial for achieving buy-in from any stakeholder group.
Interestingly, this trend is not uncommon, even in advanced economies. In the project assessment review, conducted on public participation and stakeholder engagement in the European water policy, a comparable pattern was noted
[39]. The study examined water-related project evaluation in five European countries (UK, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, and Greece), and the results suggest that a significant number of projects primarily adopted a tokenism approach merely to fulfil the Environmental Impact Assessment guidelines
[43].
Arnstein
[44] referred to the ‘design and defend’ approach as a form of manipulation dressed up as participation. The ‘ladder of participation’ was then developed as a conceptual framework that outlines the levels of stakeholder engagement in decision-making processes, as shown in
Figure 1.
Figure 1. Levels of participation—Adapted after Conallin, Dickens
[37].
Arnstein
[44] pointed out that most projects engaged the public at the tokenism level, stressing the significance of engagement at higher levels of the ‘ladder’ for improved governance, trust, and accountability. More recently, there have been several adoptions of the ‘ladder of public participation’, including the work of Callon
[45], and the spectrum for public participation as developed by the International Association of Public Participation—IAP
[46].
Since water is mostly considered a public good and is a fundamental requirement for human survival, decisions on its sustainable management must be grounded in trust, ethical considerations, and open communication
[47]. Stakeholder engagement can be used as a tool to leverage collective and collaborative dialogue, education and awareness, whilst exploring different expertise and viewpoints for sustainable water solutions
[36]. Also, technology provides a significant opportunity for keeping stakeholders informed and making it possible for more people to participate, since there are several platforms, forums, or methods of communication.
In response to some of the above challenges and opportunities, a growing body of stakeholder decision support tools and frameworks have been developed to encourage stakeholder engagement for sustainable water resource and infrastructure planning and management. One example is the ‘shared vision planning’ by the US Army Engineers Institute for Water Resources
[37]. This planning approach is structured in a way that public participation is central to creating a collaborative system where stakeholders are an integral part of decision making. Similarly, Eaton, Brasier
[48] developed a conceptual framework which acts as a guide to understanding the effects of stakeholder engagement on environmental, social, and behavioural change. However, regardless of the approach used, stakeholder engagement must be integrated into an adaptive management system for managing risks and uncertainties
[37][49].
3. Technological or Technical Factors
The provision of water services requires a complex network of infrastructure, which is highly technical, long-lived, and expensive
[50]. The infrastructure must be strategically operated and maintained for efficiency and long-term performance, as well as providing reliable and cost-effective services. In addition, with resources being limited, there is also the need to consider non-conventional alternative sources of water to augment the supply. In all of this, a whole lifecycle analysis is pivotal to assessing the role and impact of technology.
3.1. Strategic Planning and Asset Management
Infrastructure asset planning and management involves the decision making and resource allocation that is required to ensure that assets are performing as needed, with reasonable cost and impact on the environment
[51]. In the water sector, strategic planning is essential for the continuous provision of water and sanitation services that are essential for the health and wellbeing of the society.
To promote sustainability, several studies have been undertaken and tools have been created to underscore the importance of strategic planning in the management of infrastructure assets. Examples include the ‘TRUST’ approach and professional tools developed to foster decision making that embraces sustainability in infrastructure asset management, using long-term vision and foresight while incorporating risk, cost, performance, and key ISO 55000
[52] requirements
[53]; or, the strategic planning framework developed at the Water, Engineering and Development Centre, University of Loughborough, to help water utilities in developing countries plan strategically and improve performance
[54]. However, in as much as the development of frameworks and tools to foster strategic planning is essential for infrastructure asset management, others have argued that the development and implementation process is complex, resource-intensive, and requires highly skilled expertise
[55][56]. For the most part, developing countries are faced with two sets of asset management challenges—balancing the financial and environmental management of assets, and the consolidation of these two in the presence of risks and uncertainties
[57]. As a case in point, a study conducted on three urban utilities in South Africa showed that strategic planning was well established in all the utilities. However, due to lack of funding and capacity/skills challenges, the plans remained unrealised
[58].
In addition, the sustainable and resilient management of infrastructure assets require robust data, advanced technology, and innovation. This includes the need for optimizing the performance of assets, monitoring assets remotely and the ability to predict maintenance needs
[59]. A host of technological innovations and tools have been developed over the years to support infrastructure asset management. For instance, building information modelling (BIM) has been used extensively to foster data management and provide a data-rich point for collaboration throughout the lifecycle of infrastructure projects
[59]. After its establishment, there were possibilities that the models developed might be slightly different from what is constructed. Therefore, Scan-to-BIM technologies are being considered more feasible in modelling the as-is condition of assets
[60]. Complementary to this is the use of Geographical Information Systems (GIS) for spatial data to buttress BIM, especially for pipeline utilities. An example of the applicability is in the framework developed by Lee, Wang
[61], which integrates BIM with advanced 3D GIS for the improvement in the management and maintenance of utility infrastructure systems. More recent innovations include the employment of IoT (Internet of Things) and smart solutions for real-time asset monitoring, which enhances predictive maintenance and improves decision making
[62][63], as well as the use of autonomous robots for pipeline inspection, condition monitoring, and maintenance prediction in utilities
[64]. While these advanced technologies are in the early stages of implementation in SSA
[65], and in the case of the autonomous pipeline inspection robots are still in the research and development phase, it is vital that they are built into new infrastructure planning and design immediately. This is because of the huge growth in demand for water infrastructure (as described in
Section 2.1.1), the cost of its provision, the very considerable consumption of natural resources required for its construction, and the need to avoid ongoing repair and maintenance costs wherever possible. Getting the systems ‘right first time’ and embracing the latest technologies is absolutely essential if developing countries are to thrive. However, in as much as the deployment of these advanced technologies will lead to efficiency and cost savings, there have been existing debates around environmental consequences, safety, resilience to cyber security risks, return on investment, and public perception
[59].
3.2. Water Reuse and Recycling
The pressures exerted by climate change, population increase, and the decline in water availability have encouraged a growing interest in the circular economy model as opposed to the traditional linear model of water resource use and management
[66]. The concept of circular economy, introduced by Pearce and Turner
[67], aimed at encouraging reuse and regeneration, as well as maximising efficiency and minimising waste, has gained attention in several industries, including the water industry. Several frameworks and strategies have been developed to inform and guide professionals and researchers in the principles of circular economy, and how it could be integrated into the water industry. For instance, ARUP
[68], in a published whitepaper, explores the connections between the principles of circular economy and water resource management and identifies opportunities for incorporation. Similarly, the World Bank has developed a framework that aims to guide practitioners in incorporating circular economy principles in the policies, planning, design, and operations of water systems
[69]. However, Voulvoulis
[70] warns about the significant risks of water reuse and recycling, especially with wastewater recycling, citing water quality, and human health as the major concern [water reuse suggests that little/no treatment is required, whereas water recycling suggests some sort of treatment, from basic to extensive, is included]. Their paper outlines allowable levels of contamination in reclaimed water and emphasizes the need for robust water quality standards in addition to other considerations.
To address the challenges associated with wastewater reuse or recycling, a host of studies have been conducted in advanced wastewater treatments and toxic pollution control to ensure that effluents meet high water quality standards
[71][72][73]. Notwithstanding this research and development, all wastewater treatment technologies have their drawbacks including substantial energy requirements, the potential for deterioration, and the production of toxic by-products
[71]. All of that said, the public acceptance of wastewater reuse or recycling has also been a major challenge
[74], and researchers believe perception can be improved with better communication, engagement, and critical framing. However, low-income countries, especially those in SSA, are in the infancy stage of wastewater treatment and management, due to underdeveloped infrastructure and financial constraints
[75][76][77]. The few countries, such as South Africa, that do have wastewater treatment and management facilities, often fail to meet the minimum effluent standards
[78]. On the other hand, some countries in SSA do informally use reclaimed water for agricultural and other purposes without a thorough grasp of the environmental and health impacts
[76]. Notwithstanding the concerns, there is still the opportunity for the incorporation of these technologies (especially for industrial cooling processes, non-potable household purposes, or landscape irrigation) in the future as developing countries grow and gear towards meeting their SDGs
[69].
3.3. Desalination
Desalination is a technically viable alternative to freshwater sources, especially for regions facing water scarcity. However, its sustainability has been questioned over the years due to high costs, high energy consumption, and negative ecological and environmental impacts related to saline deposition
[79]. Nevertheless, arid and semi-arid countries, especially in the Middle East, have invested significantly in research and in the incorporation of desalination in their water supply systems
[80]. Significant water scarcity, coupled with elevated levels of surface water pollution, has prompted SSA to consider desalination as an alternative source of potable water
[81]. Kenya, Eritrea, and Ethiopia have been identified as having good access to the sea, combined with high potential sources of geothermal energy for desalination purposes
[82]. On the other hand, South Africa, Namibia, and Ghana do have existing desalination plants to augment the water supply
[81]. However, the Ghanaian desalination plant, inaugurated in 2015, has already encountered difficulties related to financial feasibility
[83]. With proposed plans for the construction of a desalination plant in Nigeria
[80], lessons could be learnt from Ghana, and such hurdles should be considered to avoid obsolescence.
Despite the challenges of desalination, recent studies have been devoted to investigating advanced technologies and strategies to reduce its energy intensity
[84][85] and environmental impacts
[86], and to improve its cost-effectiveness
[87], all in support of desalination as a sustainable source for water-scarce regions.
3.4. Rainwater Harvesting
Rainwater harvesting has been around for centuries, and it is an effective, affordable, and sustainable practice of collecting and storing water, rather than letting it run onto open ground or into stormwater systems (should they exist). Over the past few decades, there has been an increasing amount of literature on rainwater harvesting as a sustainable alternative to surface and groundwater, and an essential part of an integrated approach to water resource management
[88]. System design and optimisation; performance monitoring and evaluation; water quality and treatment; social and economic effects of rainwater harvesting especially in rural communities; and policy, governance, and regulatory frameworks are some of the factors to be examined for the design, operation, and management of a sustainable rainwater harvesting system
[89][90][91]. The success of the system is related to the dynamics of storage tanks both filling and emptying
[92]. The primary influence on the performance of such systems is the amount and frequency of rainfall, which, in SSA, can be low and accompanied by shifting rainfall patterns.
Domestic rainwater harvesting in SSA has been shown to be a reliable and affordable source of supply of water particularly in rural areas, with systems ranging in scale from household systems to community initiatives
[92]. Also, because barely 5% of agricultural land in SSA is irrigated, compared to approximately 35% in, say, Asia
[93], there is a lot of room for improvement in the adoption of rainwater harvesting and improved infrastructure for irrigation and increasing crop productivity. However, even though NGOs, development organisations, and, in South Africa for instance, the government have invested significantly in improved techniques and technologies, and in financial assistance for rainwater harvesting, challenges remain, especially in maintenance and the risk of diseases
[89][94]. For instance, a study on rainwater harvesting in Mekelle City, Ethiopia found the existing systems unreliable due to inefficient design
[95]. Therefore, there is a need for a policy shift to integrated systems and decision-support tools that are guided by traditional indigenous knowledge systems
[92].
4. Environmental Factors
Environmental drivers shape the water infrastructure landscape, especially in the face of climate change. These include a range of natural and human-induced factors that influence decision making for sustainable water infrastructure.
4.1. Ecosystem Pollution
Water covers over 70% of the Earth’s surface, therefore the pollution of aquatic ecosystems is one of the major challenges of sustainable development. Pollution can come from several sources, such as sewage and improper wastewater disposal; fertilizers and pesticides from agricultural practices; industrial processes; solid waste and plastic pollution; and oil spillages. These pollution sources are not unique to SSA and have a detrimental impact on human health and the health of other living organisms.
In SSA, the pollution of aquatic ecosystems can predominantly be linked to poverty, the underdevelopment of sewage and wastewater management, poor regulation and enforcement mechanisms, and the general lack of knowledge of the impacts on human health
[96]. For instance, septic tanks and pit latrines are common, particularly in rural areas, as sanitary solutions
[97]. Linkages have been shown between these sanitary services and the presence of faecal matter in groundwater aquifers, which accounts for approximately 1.5 million deaths annually in developing countries
[98]. Other instances include for example the identification of heavy metals in groundwater systems from dolomitic gold mining in South Africa
[99], accidental oil spillages in Nigeria
[100], and the leaching of agricultural chemicals in Tanzania
[101]. These examples are not isolated and are consistent with trends in other countries in SSA. On an international scale, several campaigns and initiatives have been established to help protect aquatic ecosystems and provide a legal framework for better governance, with examples including the ‘Clean Seas Campaign’ aimed at raising awareness on plastic pollution
[102] and the ‘Biodiversity Beyond National Jurisdiction 2023′ initiative, which is a UN legal framework geared towards conserving and maintaining sustainable marine ecosystems
[103]. On a local scale, the sustainable management of aquatic ecosystems requires understanding water pollution with a focus mostly on the identification of pollution sources, impact assessment, and proposing strategies for prevention and mitigation. In addition, robust regulation, education, and consistent water quality monitoring are vital for maintaining ecological balance
[104].
4.2. Natural Disasters
Natural disasters can have devastating impacts on the economy, infrastructure, food security, agriculture, and the general health and well-being of people, and they are exacerbated by the uncertainty of climate change. Research has also shown the existence of linkages between disasters and conflict, and the pressures exerted on the economy as in the case of the Darfur War in Sudan in 2003, which had been linked to drought
[105].
Despite SSA not being a major emitter of GHGs contributing to climate change, it disproportionately bears the brunt of the associated consequences
[105]. SSA’s vulnerability to natural disasters, encompassing weather-related events, geophysical occurrences, or biological incidents, is believed to be mostly a consequence of poverty
[106]. Meanwhile, floods and droughts are the most common weather-related disasters, with SSA having the highest hotspots
[106]. Examples of disasters in SSA include the 2010–2012 drought in Somalia, claiming over half a million lives
[107], the flooding and landslide in Sierra Leone in 2017, accounting for over 1100 deaths
[108], and the 2014–2015 Ebola epidemic in West Africa, killing over 11,000 people
[109].
4.3. Groundwater Depletion
Groundwater is the most reliable alternative to surface water, and has been abstracted for domestic, irrigation, and industrial use for a very long time. However, over the years, this resource has been over-exploited, which in some areas has led to subsidence, depletion of groundwater basins, and (in some cases) pollution and saline intrusion
[110]. A large and growing body of literature has investigated sustainable groundwater management, with much of the literature exploring topics including innovative technologies and data integration
[111][112][113]; managed aquifer recharge techniques
[114]; groundwater resource assessment, monitoring and water use efficiency
[115][116]; socio-economic impacts, policy, and regulation
[117]; contamination and remediation techniques
[118][119]; and general participatory approaches to groundwater management
[120]. There is a growing consensus among researchers that local and context-specific robust policies and regulations, as well as the integration of surface and groundwater management, are essential for optimal groundwater allocation and reducing conflict among competing sectors.
Due to economic water scarcity and the lack of water infrastructure, most rural communities in SSA rely on groundwater sources for their sustenance
[121]. Boreholes and water wells provide an excellent source of potable water for domestic purposes and for irrigation
[122]. To support this agenda, local governments and NGOs have invested substantial amounts of money in the construction of water wells in rural areas in SSA, yet most are not sustainably managed
[123]. On one hand, groundwater provides an alternative source of potable water in rural communities. However, on the other hand, groundwater rights are directly related to land ownership, with few or no policies and regulations on abstraction levels, pollution, and water quality
[121]. This threatens the global water supply and availability, and the environmental and social well-being of the people
[124]. There is, therefore, a need for effective regulation, aquifer management and recharge approaches, education, and the promotion of simple water-efficiency practices for the sustainable management of groundwater resources in SSA
[125].
5. Economic Factors
Water plays an essential role in promoting economic development and enhancing the welfare of society. Therefore, the financing of water security is fundamental to achieving Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 6. Water financing is typically classed under four main cost streams: grey infrastructure, green infrastructure, behaviour change and institutional and management improvements
[126]. Grey infrastructure will be focused, which refers to the physical assets that are required to collect water from the source, treat and distribute it to users, and transport it from users to wastewater treatment plants. These systems are long-lived; require significant investment costs for capital, operation, and maintenance; have high sunk costs and a long return-on-investment period; and are the reason the water sector is said to be one of the most capital intensive
[50]. However, due to the existing debate that water is a common good and must not be commercialised, the sector remains underfinanced and unattractive for investment. Compared to other infrastructure sectors, water only attracts approximately 6% of the total global infrastructure investment
[126].
5.1. Water Financing
In water asset planning and management, the three main cost categories are investment or capital costs (which covers rehabilitation or new construction of assets), maintenance costs, and operating costs; whilst the three main sources of revenue, usually referred to as the 3Ts, are taxes, tariffs, and transfers, as shown in
Figure 2. However, for most utilities, both in developed and developing countries, the revenue generated from the 3Ts is insufficient to cover all costs. Drawing from an extensive range of sources, this challenge can be due to inadequate long-term planning, challenges with capacity and human resources (especially in developing countries), and problems with the complex optimization of setting a sustainable tariff system
[127][128][129][130]. Furthermore, the challenges of developing countries are amplified by inefficiency, the poor performance of existing infrastructure systems, and the sector being heavily subsidized and mostly dependent on donor funds, especially for capital costs
[131][132][133]. Furthermore, donor funding has not seen much of an increase compared to the increase in funding requirements, and the 3Ts (even in developed economies) are insufficient to meet the financial requirements of utilities. Therefore, there is a need for other funding options.
Figure 2. Mechanisms to bridge the water financing gap—Adapted after OECD
[134].
For example, after a decade-long civil war that ended in 2002, Sierra Leone has made strides towards post-conflict reforms in the water sector. However, there exists a huge financial gap between revenue and costs
[135]. Approximately 80% of water infrastructure expenditure is from external donor financing, and this has been declining in recent years; there is a lack of capacity and human resources especially in local government authorities; cost recuperation is inadequate; and there is almost no formal private sector financing
[135]. These challenges are not uncommon in other countries in the sub-region. In Burkina Faso, the rural water services sector is financially starved as most of the little available funding (which is largely from donor funding) goes to prioritised urban municipalities
[136].
The privatisation movement has been extensively advocated and researched with the hope of bringing in more needed finances and introducing efficiency and improved performance
[127][137]. However, the drawbacks include the need for private funds to be repaid mostly with compensation, and the focus on profit generation leads to expensive services and places a financial burden on the customers
[138]. From a developing country’s perspective, the lack of policies, human capacity, weak performance, and the general lack of a robust maintenance culture makes the water infrastructure industry unattractive and risky for private sector investment
[129][139].
As the 3Ts are insufficient to cater for the cost requirements of the water sector, a host of reports have been published, and a range of financial mechanisms and instruments have been investigated to help bridge the financial gap in the delivery of water and sanitation services. For example, The World Panel on Financing Water Infrastructure in 2003 published a report on a 25-year perspective of the financial state and needs of the global water sector, the challenges, mitigation mechanisms, and priority areas that need to be addressed. The report concluded that water security is essential for development and in achieving most of the Millennium Development Goals (now Sustainable Development Goals), and not just the water-specific goals
[140]. The Roundtable on Water Financing was also established in 2017 as a central platform for engaging a diverse range of stakeholders for researching/exploring investment options that will facilitate the sustainability and security of water and sanitation services
[128]. The OECD has also developed a framework for bridging the financial gap in water and sanitation service delivery
[134]. The report articulates the availability and use of market-based repayable finance, such as loans, bonds, and equity as viable options, especially for capital expenditure. Due to their compensatory nature, however, they should only be used to bridge the gap in capital expenditure, whilst improvements in revenue from a mix of the 3Ts cater for ongoing operations and maintenance. There are also concessionary options where funding support is provided under more financially favourable conditions.
However, the water sector is viewed by most repayable finance providers as high risk and low return in terms of investment
[127]. In addition, these instruments require institutional and human capacity, local capital and financial markets, and specific conditional requirements for access and successful incorporation, which are lacking in low-income countries where they are needed the most
[50]. In Kenya, for instance, the commercialization of water to bridge the financing gap is causing a shift towards market feasibility and profit generation rather than meeting the basic needs of the people
[141], which in turn increases the gap in access to water and sanitation services between urban and rural areas and between the rich and the poor.
Concisely, the consensus is that additional funding for water infrastructure is essential for better functioning. Notwithstanding the challenges, a thorough consideration of the context, with the right regulation and oversight, private sector participation in water service financing will bring in the needed reliable and efficient delivery in water service delivery in SSA
[129]. In addition, funding alone is not enough to make a change; there is a need for sustainable improvements in policies and governance, robust institutions, tariff setting and revenue collection, data and information, and an all-round efficiency built into water service delivery systems.
5.2. Water–Food–Energy Nexus
There is a growing conflict for resources between and among the water, energy, and agricultural industries, and this is a huge challenge in addressing water security
[142]. The water–food–energy nexus is described as a concept to better understand the complexity and interconnectivity of these global resource systems, pivotal to the question of global sustainability
[143]. The nexus or interlinkages have been described as being dependent on the number of nodes and can be two-, three-, and four-node nexuses
[144]. These include for instance the water–energy interlinkage, which describes the link in the role water plays in energy production; the water–food linkage, in which water plays a pivotal role in irrigation and food production; or the water–food–energy interlinkage, which highlights the connections between and among energy used for irrigation and water treatment, and in the water requirements for energy generation. Rising global population, increases in urbanisation, changes in diet, and economic growth are causing increased demand for these resources. This has been exacerbated by global pandemics (e.g., COVID-19)
[145] and wars (e.g., Russia–Ukraine)
[146][147], which have put a huge strain on the supply chain. Food production and energy generation are both water intensive industries. To illustrate, the energy industry uses water in hydrogeneration, for cooling purposes in power plants, for irrigation of crops used in biomass plants, and in the extraction and manufacturing processes of other energy sources
[148]. On the other hand, agriculture alone accounts for approximately 72% of global freshwater withdrawals
[149], and the FAO (Food and Agriculture Organisation) recommends that food production will need to double by 2050 if the needs of the growing population are to be met
[150]. Understanding these interlinkages is significant for the design of sustainable solutions.
Generally, the water–food–energy nexus is specific to the country and varies by context. In as much as the performance of SSA countries is suboptimal, a few countries like South Africa and Namibia are improving in performance. There is, therefore, an opportunity for an in-depth investigation and understanding of the critical challenges, and an opportunity for learning from other well-performing countries. Solutions must be focused on integrated rather than sectoral approaches, whilst moving from nexus thinking to nexus action
[147][151].
5.3. Virtual Water
The Virtual Water concept was introduced by Professor Allan
[152] in 1993, and it refers to the water embedded in the production of food and other goods. Virtual water is essential in understanding the constraints of the movement of goods and services, especially agricultural products, and in essence water from one region to another. This means that water consumption is much more than what is used directly. It is generally defined as the usual water consumed in addition to the embedded water, which makes up the ‘water footprint’, a concept introduced by Hoekstra
[153]. These two concepts are interrelated and have come to be an integral part of the definition of water consumption.
Over the past few decades, water resource management problems were thought to be unique for several regions, and water problems do not exist at the global scale
[26]. However, subsequent findings invalidate these assertions. Hoff
[154] points out that the teleconnections in global water systems can introduce water pressures originating from other regions. It is stated that these teleconnections can be biophysical, socio-economic, or institutional, and could largely lead to the significant disruptions of social and ecological systems that are dependent on water. For example, research has found that there is a high correlation between the exploitation of Brazilian water resources and the increase in water-intensive food imports to China
[155]. Another instance is the claim that 20% of the drying of the Aral Sea is believed to be related to water abstractions, relating to cotton import to the EU
[155]. Virtual water enables the trade of water-intensive crops or products from regions with abundant water to water scarce regions, with water abundant regions being compensated for the embedded water, thereby fostering economic development. Understanding such linkages is a step forward in designing sustainable water systems for society and ecosystems
[156].
In the context of SSA, the virtual water concept holds significant relevance as the region heavily relies on agriculture. Virtual water will help provide insights into water-intensive agricultural practices, food security, and sustainable water resource management
[157]. The results of a study that sought to understand food trade systems in two West African cities indicate that virtual water flows were largest in grains and cereals
[158]. This creates significant opportunities for SSA in managing their water footprint whilst enhancing revenue generation. However, due to Sub-Saharan Africa’s reliance on agriculture, it is recommended that the virtual water policies are efficient and fair, and does not lead to further scarcity or increased pollution
[157].
This entry is adapted from the peer-reviewed paper 10.3390/su16041592