3.2. Detection of MRD
The principal neoadjuvant and adjuvant chemotherapy regimens in breast cancer include anthracyclines and taxanes, which are associated with short- and long-term toxicities. Detecting the need to increase or reduce the dose or duration of treatment could decrease these toxicities and also improve overall survival
[25][48]. For this reason, several clinical trials use radiological tests during neoadjuvant treatment to predict a pathological complete response (pCR) and personalize treatment duration and dosage based on these findings
[26][49]. However, ctDNA could be a more sensitive method to evaluate treatment response. In addition, ctDNA analysis could help identify patients unlikely to benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy and could play a crucial role in detecting patients with micro-metastases and a higher risk of future distant metastases, thus improving patient selection for certain treatments and avoiding unnecessary adverse events.
3.3. Epigenetic ctDNA Alterations
Since gene methylation and transcriptional regulation could predict treatment response and patient outcome, epigenetic ctDNA alterations have also been proposed as a promising biomarker in early breast cancer
[27][28][56,57]. Serial blood samples taken during neoadjuvant chemotherapy were analyzed for the methylation status of BRCA1, MGMT, GSTP1, Stratifin, and MDR1. BRCA1 methylation frequency was different in responders and non-responders
[29][58]. Another study of 336 early breast cancer patients found that patients with methylation of GSP1, RASSF1a and RARb2 promotors before surgery had a lower overall survival rate at eight years than those without methylation (78% vs. 95%)
[30][59]. Measurement of ctDNA methylation has also been proposed as a method to predict resistance to adjuvant tamoxifen treatment
[31][60], and serum DNA methylation has been proposed as a surrogate marker of tumor DNA methylation for diagnosis and prognosis
[32][61].
4. ctDNA in Metastatic Breast Cancer
The analysis of ctDNA offers a wide range of information in metastatic breast cancer patients. For example, it can provide a prompt diagnosis of disease relapse in previously treated early breast cancer patients. In addition, the assessment of gene mutations in ctDNA can help to select the best therapy for each patient. ctDNA analysis also provides information on the clonal evolution and heterogeneity of the tumor and can be used in the follow up of the disease to detect response or failure to ongoing treatments and determine prognosis. All of this information is crucial for clinical decision-making and patient management
[33][34][35][36][63,64,65,66].
4.1. Tumor Burden Dynamics and Response to Treatment
Fluctuations in ctDNA levels correlate with tumor burden, which makes ctDNA an excellent, non-invasive tool for monitoring tumor evolution, predicting treatment response, and determining prognosis, as shown by Dawson et al. in their prospective study of 30 women with metastatic breast cancer
[33][37][63,67]. ctDNA is more abundant than CTCs but is also more dynamic and is rapidly cleared from circulation within hours. Furthermore, ctDNA in metastatic breast cancer patients has been shown to accurately represent the mutational profile of individual CTCs. Moreover, an increase in ctDNA levels was able to predict disease progression several months before standard imaging techniques and was able to assess treatment response earlier than any other markers
[36][37][66,67].
4.2. Prognostic Markers
ctDNA percentage—the number of mutant molecules over the total number of molecules at a given genomic position—is quantitatively associated with outcome, with increasing levels of ctDNA associated with shorter overall survival. This relationship does not hold true for invariable biomarkers, such as T, N, histological grade, ER, PR, HER2, and the Nottingham prognostic index
[38][36][39][46,66,68]. Moreover, the study by Dawson et al. demonstrated that while CA 15-3 levels were not a prognostic factor, PIK3CA and TP53 mutations in ctDNA were an early indicator of response to treatment
[37][67].
4.3. Genetic Heterogeneity and Clonal Evolution
ctDNA can also be used to study clonal evolution during treatment and at progression without the need for repeated biopsies, which may not even be feasible if the tumor is in an inaccessible site
[33][40][63,70]. Due to this difficulty in performing biopsies of metastatic lesions, the phenotype of the primary tumor most often determines treatment decisions in metastatic breast cancer; however, this may lead to inaccurate decisions, since the genetic make-up of the tumor may change over time
[41][71]. Moreover, a biopsy, from either the primary tumor or the metastasis, may not reflect intratumor heterogeneity, as the biopsy specimen may not be representative of all the tumor cells
[33][40][63,70]. In contrast, ctDNA can provide insight into the genomic make-up and heterogeneity of inaccessible metastatic lesions
[40][70], which is crucial for detecting the emergence of resistant clones and possible new driver mutations. Furthermore, ctDNA can provide information on the current status of the disease, which can help guide clinical management and the choice of the appropriate targeted therapy during follow up
[42][40][41][43][44][62,70,71,72,73].
4.4. ctDNA Quantification and Gene Mutations
Assessment of the ctDNA percentage can help determine tumor dynamics, treatment response, and risk of relapse. ctDNA percentage correlated with progression-free survival in triple-negative breast cancer patients
[45][46][74,75]. In addition, it can be used to assess specific gene mutations. Several genes play an important role in the management of patients with metastatic breast cancer, with TP53, PIK3CA, ESR1, GATA3, ARID1A and PTEN are the most frequently altered
[47][76]. These mutations can be truncal, when they are found in all the patient’s cancer cells, or subclonal, when they are randomly dispersed throughout the genome. The ctDNA dynamics of subclonal mutations have a limited potential to predict clinical outcome
[48][77].
4.5. ctDNA Gene Alterations in Metastatic Breast Cancer
PIK3CA encodes for the p110a subunit of PI3K. PIK3CA mutations are associated with worse prognosis
[49][80], although they confer sensitivity to PI3K inhibitors (PI3Ki) such as taselisib, alpelisib, buparlisib and copanlisib
[41][50][51][71,81,82]. The majority of PIK3CA mutations are truncal mutations, including H1047R/L, N345K, G1049R, E545K and E542K, but others are subclonal
[47][48][76,77]. Although there are no validated predictive biomarkers of response to CDK 4/6 inhibitors, early ctDNA dynamics of PIK3CA truncal mutations predicted sensitivity to palbociclib, a CDK 4/6 inhibitor. Palbociclib is a cytostatic drug, and its effects decrease PIK3CA-mutant ctDNA, indicating that ctDNA PIK3CA mutations may be useful as an early predictor of response, as was observed in the PALOMA-3 trial of ER-positive/HER2-negative advanced breast cancer patients who had previously progressed to endocrine therapy
[52][48][69,77]. However, Razavi et al. found that in HR-positive metastatic breast cancer, PTEN loss promotes PIK3alf-independent activation of AKT, causing resistance to PI3Ki
[53][83].