Current Therapy for Advanced/Metastatic Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Comparison
Please note this is a comparison between Version 2 by Camila Xu and Version 1 by Fuat Bicer.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the second most common cause of cancer-related deaths in the world. More than half of patients with HCC present with advanced stage, and highly active systemic therapies are crucial for improving outcomes. Immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI)-based therapies have emerged as novel therapy options for advanced HCC.

  • HCC
  • immunotherapy
  • PD1
  • PDL1
  • TIGIT
  • LAG3
  • TIM3

1. Introduction

Primary liver cancer is the sixth most diagnosed cancer worldwide. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the predominant subtype, accounting for close to 90% of cases [1,2][1][2]. There were varying incidences ranging from 6.3 per 100,000 in the United States to >50 per 100,000 in some countries in East Asia in 2020 [1]. It is the second leading cause of cancer-related death in men and sixth in women [3]. The gap in incidence rates is due to disparities in the prevalence of risk factors [3,4,5][3][4][5].
Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is the leading cause of HCC in Western Europe, North America, and Japan, while Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is the leading cause of HCC in Asia (besides Japan), South America, and Africa [6]. The prevalence of some modifiable risk factors is on the rise globally, including alcohol consumption, metabolic syndrome, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). One study found that >3 drinks per day was associated with a 16% increased risk of HCC [7]. For another risk factor, metabolic syndrome, one study found it was associated with an 81% increased risk of developing HCC, and that risk can be reduced by treating one of the many conditions attributed to metabolic syndrome such as insulin resistance, obesity, hypertension, and dyslipidemia [7].
Immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI)-based therapies have emerged as novel therapy options in advanced HCC. Early approved ICI’s included targets for programmed cell death-1 (PD-1)/programmed cell death ligand-1 (PD-L1) in the form of antibodies. ICI’s have shown progressive improvements in overall survival outcomes compared to sorafenib (TKI). Combination agents targeting cytotoxic T lymphocyte-associated antigen 4 (CTLA-4) and (PD-1) have been approved as well, surpassing the ICI monotherapy overall survival rates. Approximately two thirds of patients do not achieve the objective response with ICI-based therapies due to primary or acquired resistance created by the tumor’s overwhelming immunosuppressive state [8].

2. Current First-Line Therapies for Advanced/Metastatic HCC

2.1. TKI-Based Therapies

2.1.1. Sorafenib

Sorafenib, a multi-kinase inhibitor, (Figure 21) was the first systemic therapy to gain FDA approval for the treatment of HCC. The landmark SHARP trial was a multicenter, randomized control phase III trial that included 602 patients assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive 400 mg sorafenib or placebo. Eligible patients were Child–Pugh Class A and had no previous systemic therapy. Most patients had HCC caused by chronic HCV (56%) and alcohol consumption (52%), and chronic HBV (37%) closely followed [25][9]. Median OS was 10.7 months in the sorafenib group and 7.9 months in the placebo group (Hazard Ratio (HR) = 0.69; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.55 to 0.87; p < 0.001). The incidence of drug related serious adverse events (AEs) was 9.4–14.6% in the sorafenib group and 5.0–25% in the placebo group [26][10]. The subsequent Asia–Pacific study confirmed the findings of the SHARP trial, showing that the mOS was 6.5 months in the sorafenib arm and 4.2 months in the placebo arm (HR = 0.68; 95% CI = 0.50–0.93; p = 0.014). Inclusion and exclusion criteria were similar as well [25,27,28,29][9][11][12][13].
Figure 21.
Mechanism of action of currently approved systemic therapy options in advanced HCC.
After sorafenib received FDA approval, multiple clinical trials with other drugs failed to improve survival when compared to sorafenib. These drugs include sunitinib, brivanib, linifanib, everolimus, and tivantinib [30,31,32,33,34,35][14][15][16][17][18][19].

2.1.2. Lenvatinib

Lenvatinib is a multi-kinase inhibitor targeting VEGFR, fibroblast growth factor receptor (FGFR), platelet-derived growth factor receptor (PDGFR alpha), RET protooncogene (RET), and kit-protooncogene (KIT). In the REFLECT trial, a randomized phase III noninferiority trial, lenvatinib was found to be noninferior in overall survival compared to sorafenib (mOS 13.6 vs. 12.3 months, HR = 0.92; 95% CI = 0.79–1.06). The secondary endpoint of median progression-free survival (PFS) was 7.4 months in the lenvatinib group versus 3.7 months in the sorafenib group (HR = 0.66, 95% CI 0.79–1.06). Hypothyroidism, decreased appetite, and hypertension were more common in the lenvatinib group, and diarrhea and a hand–foot–skin reaction was less common the lenvatinib group. In 2018, the FDA approved lenvatinib for first-line treatment of patients with advanced HCC [36][20].

2.2. ICI-Based Therapies

2.2.1. Atezolizumab and Bevacizumab

The combination of atezolizumab, an anti-PD-L1 antibody, and bevacizumab, an anti-VEGF antibody, has shown synergistic anticancer activity [37,38][21][22]. Bevacizumab blocks VEGF, enabling maturation of dendritic cells that would have otherwise been downregulated with VEGF activity. Blocking VEGF prevents upregulation of MDSCs, which in turn allows for proliferation of CD8+ T cells and suppression of Tregs. With this environment, there is adequate antigen presentation, but tumor cells still can inhibit cytotoxic activity of the T cells with PD-L1/PD-1 upregulation. With the addition of an anti PD-L1 antibody, the T cells are able to destroy cancer cells without inhibition [37][21].
The phase Ib clinical trial GO30140 was an open-label, multi-arm trial where one of the HCC cohorts (A) studied the safety and efficacy of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab, while the other cohort (F) studied atezolizumab plus bevacizumab versus atezolizumab. Both cohorts met their primary endpoints with statistical significance [39][23].
IMbrave150 is a phase III randomized trial in patients who had unresectable HCC, no prior history of systemic therapy, and well-compensated liver disease (Child–Pugh A (CPA)). Patients were randomized to atezolizumab + bevacizumab versus sorafenib in a 2:1 ratio. The mOS was 19.2 months in the combination arm and 13.4 in the control arm (HR = 0.66; 95% CI = 0.52–0.85; p < 0.001). Grade 3 or 4 treatment-related adverse events occurred in 43% of the atezolizumab + bevacizumab group and 46% of the sorafenib group [40][24].
A recent study analyzed the correlative baseline tumor samples from a group of patients enrolled in the GO30140 or IMbrave150 phase III trial and provided insight to potentially significant biomarkers (key correlative findings are summarized in Table 1) [41][25]. It was demonstrated that genes or immune markers associated with pre-existing immunity, including expression of PD-L1 mRNA and effector T cell (Teff), were correlated with higher response to atezolizumab + bevacizumab in both GO30140 cohort A and in the IMbrave150 trial. Validation with immunohistochemical analysis was not able to demonstrate a clinically significant relationship between PD-L1 levels and ORR but revealed higher rate of infiltration of CD8+ T cells in the responders in arm A of GO30140 cohort A and in the IMbrave150 trial. Additionally, the study revealed that patients in the IMbrave150 trial with a low ratio of Treg/Teff signatures had a statistically significant higher PFS and OS in the atezolizumab + bevacizumab combination therapy group compared to sorafenib.
Table 1. Summary of molecular correlative analysis results in GO30140 and IMbrave 150 trials [41].
Summary of molecular correlative analysis results in GO30140 and IMbrave 150 trials [25].
The study was able to use the GO30140 cohort F correlative samples to study the benefits of the added bevacizumab. Immune subsets of CD8+ T cells, Treg cells, and macrophages were associated with outcomes with the addition of bevacizumab [41,42][25][26]. Effector T cell and myeloid gene signatures at baseline were associated with improved outcomes in the combination group. It was also shown that the expression of the VEGFR-2 gene (KDR) was decreased in the combination group compared to monotherapy in pre- and post-treatment tumor biopsies. In addition, 80% of the responders had a decrease in the Treg signature in the combination group compared to 33% of the responders in the atezolizumab group. Lastly, higher blood vessel density was associated with longer PFS in the combination group compared to monotherapy.
The study also investigated the impact of TMB on therapy outcomes using whole-genome sequencing (WES) on tumor-blood samples of patients in both trials. TMB was not associated with outcomes in the IMbrave150 group [41][25].

2.2.2. Durvalumab + Tremelimumab

In a phase II trial involving patients with unresectable HCC, the combination of tremelimumab (anti-CTLA-4 antibody) plus durvalumab (a PD-L1 inhibitor) demonstrated promising clinical activity and safety [43][27]. Patients were randomly assigned to receive either 300 mg of tremelimumab for one dose plus 1500 mg of durvalumab every 4 weeks, 1500 mg of durvalumab every 4 weeks, 75 mg of tremelimumab every 4 weeks for a total of four doses plus 1500 mg of durvalumab every 4 weeks (a combination given the term T75 +D), or 400 mg of sorafenib twice a day.
The phase III HIMALAYA trial randomized previously untreated advanced HCC patients using the STRIDE (Single Tremelimumab Regular Interval Durvalumab) regimen, sorafenib, durvalumab, or 75 mg of tremelimumab every 4 weeks for a total of four doses plus 1500 mg of durvalumab every 4 weeks (T75 +D). Later, the T75 + D arm was closed based on the data from the phase II trial. The HIMALAYA trial demonstrated that the STRIDE regimen improved overall survival with mOS of 16.43 months versus 13.77 months for sorafenib (HR = 0.78; 96 CI = 0.65–0.92; p = 0.0035). The trial also demonstrated that durvalumab was noninferior to sorafenib. Based on the results of the HIMALAYA trial, the STRIDE regimen was approved for first-line therapy in advanced HCC [43,44][27][28].
An international, randomized phase III trial NCT03764293 studying camrelizumab plus rivoceranib, also known as apatinib (an anti-angiogenic), versus sorafenib recently revealed pivotal results in a front-line setting, with OS 22.1 months versus 15.2 months; HR = 0.62; 95% CI = 0.49–0.80; p < 0.0001. This study is now known as CARES-310, and a new drug application has just been submitted for the combination as a first-line treatment option [45][29].

3. Current Second-Line Therapies for Advanced/Metastatic HCC

3.1. ICI-Based Therapies

3.1.1. Nivolumab

Checkpoint 040 trial was a multi-cohort, open-label clinical trial studying nivolumab as both monotherapy and in combination with ipilimumab in advanced HCC patients with prior sorafenib use and those who were sorafenib naive. Patients with Child–Pugh A were included in cohorts 1–3, which included a dose-escalation phase for safety and a dose-expansion phase to assess safety and clinical data for different doses of nivolumab monotherapy. The trial revealed ORRs of 15 and 20% in dose escalation and expansion phases, respectively. The FDA approved this drug for second-line treatment in HCC; however, it was later withdrawn [46][30]. In cohort 5, only patients with Child–Pugh B were included, and most patients were Child–Pugh B7 (76%). Patients were treated with nivolumab alone in this non-comparative study. The mOS of the Child–Pugh B group was 7.6 months (95% CI = 4.4–10.5). Patients who responded to nivolumab monotherapy in cohort 5 showed stable or improved liver function, evidenced by five of the six responders improving from Child–Pugh B to Child–Pugh A. All responders showed stable ALBI grades [47][31]. These findings signify the potential role that immunotherapy may have in reversing tumor-mediated decline in liver function.
The confirmatory Check-Mate-459 trial randomized previously untreated advanced HCC patients to nivolumab versus sorafenib but failed to improve OS. Therefore, the nivolumab approval based on the Checkpoint 040 trial was withdrawn [48][32].

3.1.2. Pembrolizumab

Pembrolizumab originally received accelerated second-line approval for advanced HCC based on the findings of the Keynote-224 trial, which revealed an ORR of 17% per the RECIST v1.1 (95% CI = 11–26) and mOS of 12.9 months (95% CI 9.7–15.5) [49][33]. In the subsequent Keynote-240 trial assessing the safety and efficacy of pembrolizumab, mOS was 13.8 months in the pembrolizumab group and 10.6 months in the placebo group (HR = 0.78; 95% CI = 0.611–0.998; p = 0023), which did not meet the prespecified boundary of p = 0.0174 for OS [50][34].
Keynote-394, another phase III trial conducted in Asian patients with previously treated advanced HCC, revealed improvements in mOS and mPFS in those receiving pembrolizumab over best supportive care; mOS was 14.6 months for the pembrolizumab arm and 13.0 months for the placebo (HR = 0.70; 95% CI = 0.63–0.99; p = 0.0180). This trial is promising for the role of second-line ICIs for HCC in Asian patients [51,52][35][36].

3.1.3. Nivolumab/Ipilimumab

In 2020, a nivolumab plus ipilimumab combination was approved for the treatment of patients with advanced HCC who were previously treated with sorafenib. This was based on results of Arm A of cohort 4 of the Checkmate 040 trial, where patients received nivolumab (1 mg/kg) with ipilimumab (3 mg/kg) every 3 weeks for a total of four doses followed by nivolumab (240 mg) every 2 weeks. The ORR was 32% (RECIST v1.1) while the median response duration was 17.5 months (4.6–30.5 months). A follow-up showed that the ORR continued to stay at 32% while the 24-month OS rate improved to 46% (95% CI = 32–59%) [46,53][30][37].
Currently approved TKI-based therapies in second-line and beyond are summarized in Table 2 with key findings of the landmark trials.
Table 2.
Results from clinical trials from approved systemic therapies in advanced HCC.

4. Combination Therapy of ICI with Anti-Angiogenic Therapy and TKI

The combination of immune checkpoint inhibitors with anti-angiogenic agents has changed HCC frontline therapy. Several other studies have taken advantage of the synergistic effect of an ICI with another novel agent [33][17].
The Keynote 524 trial was an open-label, phase Ib, multicenter, single-arm study where patients with unresectable HCC received lenvatinib and pembrolizumab. The primary objective was ORR via modified RECIST (mRECIST), RECIST version 1.1 (v1.1) per independent imaging review (IIR). One hundred out of the 104 patients did not receive any prior systemic therapy, and patients had BCLC stage B or C disease. The combination proved to have confirmed ORR of 46% (95% CI = 36–56) per mRECIST and 36% (95% CI = 26.6.0–46.2) per RECIST v1.1 [58][42].
Leap-002 was a phase III study that compared lenvatinib plus pembrolizumab versus lenvatinib plus placebo in previously untreated advanced HCC in a 1:1 ratio Child–Pugh Class A. The trial had co-primary endpoints of OS and PFS. The primary endpoints of OS and PFS in the combination of lenvatinib and pembrolizumab arm did not meet pre-specified statistical significance [59][43]. Although this trial failed to meet the pre-specified outcomes, it revealed significant survival data in both arms, with 21.2 months (95% CI = 19.0–23.6) in the lenvatinib plus pembrolizumab arm and 19.0 months (95% CI = 17.2–21.7) in the lenvatinib plus placebo arm.
The COSMIC-312 study is a phase III, multicenter, and open-label trial that studied the combination of cabozantinib and atezolizumab versus sorafenib. It randomized 837 patients with advanced HCC and no prior history of receiving systemic therapy to atezolizumab and cabozantinib versus sorafenib versus cabozantinib in a 2:1:1 ratio. The study had dual primary endpoints of PFS in the first 372 patients for the atezolizumab and cabozantinib versus sorafenib arm and OS for the atezolizumab and cabozantinib versus sorafenib in all patients. The primary endpoint of PFS was longer in the combination group (6.8 vs. 4.2 months; HR 0.63, 99% CI5.6–8.3, p = 0.0012), but there was no significant difference in the overall survival (15.4 vs. 15.5 months; HR 0.90, 96% CI 0.69–1.18, p = 0.44) between the groups [60][44]. Given the lack of improvement in survival, this combination therapy is unlikely to be adopted for first-line therapy in advanced HCC.
The ICI/anti-angiogenic combination trials so far have rendered impressive results as shown in the IMbrave 150 trial underscoring the unique synergistic activity of this combination approach. Although early phase trials with ICI/TKI combinations were promising, the survival benefit over single-agent TKI was not shown in larger trials. Several other studies involving anti-angiogenics or TKIs and ICIs are underway, as shown in Table 3, including tivozanib plus durvalumab (NCT03970616) and regorafenib plus tiselizumab (NCT04183088) [61,62,63][45][46][47].
Table 3.
Ongoing clinical trials of ICI-based approaches in HCC.
Trial Name and ID Cancer Type Estimated Enrollment Targeting Mechanism Control Arm Phase Start and Completion Dates Primary Measures
RATIONALE—301 [64][48]

NCT03412773
HCC December 2017 Tislelizumab (anti-PD-1 antibody) Sorafenib III December 2017

July 2023
OS
Checkmate 9DW [65][49]

NCT04039607
HCC September 2019 Nivolumab + Ipilimumab Sorafenib or lenvatinib III September 2019

June 2025
OS
NCT03764293 [45][29] (CARES-310) Locally advanced or metastatic and unresectable HCC June 2019 Camrelizumab (anti-PD-1 antibody) + Apatinib (VEGF inhibitor) Sorafenib III June 2019

April 2023
OS

PFS
DEDUCTIVE [62][46]

NCT03970616
Advanced HCC September 2019 Tivozanib (selective VEGFR 1,2,3 TKI) + Durvalumab (PD-L1 inhibitor) N/A 1/IIb September 2019

March 2023
TEAEs
NCT04183088 [63][47] Advanced HCC December 2020 Tislelizumab (anti-PD-1 antibody) + regorafenib (TKI) N/A II December 2020

March 2025
TRAE

ORR

PFS
NCT04401813 [66][50] Advanced HCC June 2020 IBI308 (anti-CTLA4 antibody) + Sintilizumab (anti-PD-1 antibody) N/A I June 2020

April 2023
AE

ORR
NCT04212221 [67][51] Advanced HCC April 2020 MGD013 (anti PD 1 antiobdy and anti-LAG-3 antibody) + Brivanib N/A I/II Completed Pending results DLTs

ORR
NCT03680508 [68][52] Advanced HCC December 2019 Cobolimab (TIM-3 binding antibody) + Dostarlimab (anti PD-1 antibody) N/A II December 2019

October 2025
ORR
NCT03841201 [69][53] Advanced HCC June 2019 Lenvatinib (TKI) + Nivolumab (anti-PD-1 antibody) N/A II June 2019

March 2023
ORR

AE

SAE
RENOBATE [70][54]

NCT04310709
Advanced HCC June 2020 Regorafenib + Nivolumab     Completed

Pending results
Response Rate
ARYA-1 [71][55]

NCT04502082
Advanced HCC April 2021 ET140203 autologous T cell product N/A I/II April 2021

June 2024
Incidence of AE and severity rates of AE

Incidence rates of DLT

RP2D
TRIPLET [72][56]

NCT05665348
HCC—Hepatocellular Carcinoma September 2021 Atezolizumab (anti-PD-L1 antibody) + Bevacizumab (VEGF inhibitor) + Ipilimumab (anti-CTLA-4 antibody) Atezolizumab + Bevacizumab II/III September 2021

April 2026
Objective response

Overall survival
NCT05022927 [73][57] Advanced HCC June 2021 ERY974 + Tocilicumab + Atezolizumab + Bevacizumab N/A I June 2021

September 2024
Incidence of treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAE)
The PNeoVCA Study [74][58]

NCT05269381
Various advanced solid tumors including HCC March 2022 Cyclophosphamide (alkylating agent) + Neoantigen vaccine (containing sargramostim (GM-CSF)) + Pembrolizumab (anti-PD-1 antibody) N/A I March 2022

February 2025
Incidence of AE
RELATIVITY—106 [75][59]

NCT05337137
Advanced HCC April 2022 Relatinib + Nivolumab + Bevacizumab Nivolumab + Bevacizumab 1/2 April 2022

March 2023
Incidence of DLT

PFS

 

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